What are the odds?

OK, I need someone with a degree in Chance and Probability to calculate the following for me; what are the odds that as I'm cycling northbound at 30 km/hr, a bee flying westbound at 24 km/hr and fighting a crosswind from the south of 20 km/hr would fly into my right ear and sting me? Crap that hurt! It didn't bounce off my ear lobe or hit the top of my ear or just in front .... it friggin flew right into it. We were just reaching Uxbridge, about 30 km into our 90 km ride. Justin and I were going to do a brick and Chris joined us for the bike even though he was tapering since were going to take it easier. I had Justin lead so that he could set his pace at something that would challenge his legs but not blow them up considering the 10 km run we had planned for afterwards. As we were coming into Uxbridge Justin was leading, I was behind him and Chris behind me. Well Chris must have thought that I was having a conniption. I started swatting and slapping at my ear and shaking my head to get it out but it had other ideas, it wasn't leaving till it stung me which it did and promptly flew off. We rode into Uxbridge for a couple of km then turned around to head back to Hwy 47. At that point I zoned out for about 10 km. I remember crossing 6th Concession, the last set of lights heading south from Uxbridge and then the next thing I realized we were coming into Goodwood. 10 km of only being able to focus on how much my ear hurt. Then to add insult to injury, we went over some railway tracks in Goodwood and I had to know it would happen, a bottle got tossed out of my carrier. At this point I was riding 3rd and while I turned back to recover it Chris and Justin rode off unaware. After waiting for the oncoming traffic to clear I picked up the bottle, turned and picked up the chase. I could see Justin and Chris way off in the distance, about a half a km away and I just started to hammer. It wasn't till about York Durham Rd. that Chris realized I wasn't behind him and slowed up a bit for me while Justin kept riding. I caught up with Chris and then the two of us took off after Justin. I found out later that Justin had looked back and saw Chris and me behind him and thought "Oh, real nice, the two of them can take their time shooting the breeze back there and catch me whenever they like". Well no that's not what we were doing Justin but to be honest ..... ummmm ya, we probably can ... lol. So the rest of the ride was thankfully uneventful and we ended up doing our 90 km at a 30 km/hr average, a bit faster then I'd thought we were going to average and I was concerned that Justin had gone too fast. In addition, Justin didn't take in enough fluids and no food and I had a feeling he was pretty low on energy. It's funny how we know how we should "nutriate" (my word for nutrition and hydrate) but sometimes don't. It happened to me last weekend and Chris a few weeks back. It will be really important to be strict about it in Miami, especially if it's hot. Chris split off to head home and we went to my place to transition for the run, albeit a rather slow transition so Justin could "nutriate". After a few minutes we headed out on our run and we took it easy but I don't think Justin had any other choice. It wouldn't get better, not on this run anyway and Justin would have to gut it out for 10 km. Which he did for the full 10 km and we pretty much maintained the same pace for the entire distance. We did stop a couple of times and at one point we monitored his heart rate which had climbed to higher then normal and took longer then usual to start coming down. He was dehydrated but completed the run. So next weekend Justin you "nutriate" and it'll feel way better.